The National Hurricane Center reported as of 11 a.m. ET Tuesday, a tropical depression continues to spin in the Atlantic Ocean.
The tropical depression had maximum sustained winds of 35 mph. It was moving to the west at 17 mph and was located about 910 miles east of the Lesser Antilles in the Caribbean.
Senior Hurricane Specialist Michael Brennan said in a message, “Satellite data indicate that the circulation has become better defined and the system is producing a small area of winds near tropical storm force,” Brennan said. “Only a small increase in organization of the shower activity would result in the formation of a tropical depression as the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph during the next day or two.”
If the system’s winds reach 39 mph, it would become Tropical Storm Bertha. However, the hurricane center predicts that “the depression is forecast to degenerate into a trough of low pressure in two to three days.”
There are a few things working against the tropical cyclone, reports Washington Post. The sea surface temperature is currently warm enough to sustain a stronger storm, but barely. The vertical wind shear, which inhibits cyclone development and strengthening, is also low enough to allow a storm to intensify, but it will be increasing notably by tomorrow. Finally, there is a lot of dry air surrounding this tropical cyclone embryo.
The depression is small and weak according to AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski.
“There is only a small window of opportunity for this system to become a named tropical storm,” Kottlowski said.
Computer models show the storm, if it forms, would generally follow a west or west-northwest path into the Caribbean Sea over the next five days.
“The islands of Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique and all smaller islands in around these three larger islands will experience gusty winds and the heaviest rainfall during Thursday. Rainfall totals could average 2-4 inches,” Kottlowski said.
During Thursday night and Friday the remnants of the system will pass near or just south of the Virgin Island and Puerto Rico. During Friday nigh and Saturday the remnants of the system will move across Hispaniola.
However, the tropical cyclone should weaken to a remnant low by Thursday.
Tropical Depression in Atlantic Ocean
The National Hurricane Center is tracking tropical depression No. 2 as it travels to the west at 16 mph. This system will continue to track westward with little development before environmental conditions become unfavorable.