Which path will Hurricane Sandy take? It’s still unclear and being determined. Each computer model is saying something different, but as next week nears, forecasters will have a better idea. Sandy could stay off the coast, or things could get real bad for the Mid-Atlantic and/or New England region next week.
The U.S. National Hurricane Center said Sandy emerged off Cuba’s northeast coast around dawn and was moving north at 18 mph, with maximum sustained winds of 105 mph quoting it was a Category 2.
Santiago, Cuba’s second largest city near the eastern tip of Cuba, got hit with the worst of the storm. Hurricane Sandy slammed into the provinces of Granma, Holguin and Las Tunas.
Around 5,000 tourists at beach resorts in Holguin were evacuated before Hurricane Sandy came, along with 10,200 residents. Another 3,000 people in low lying areas of Las Tunas were moved away before Sandy arrived, according to Cuban media.
Hurricane Sandy is expected to remain a hurricane while it moves up through the Bahamas.
The projected path for Hurricane Sandy will be along the Mid-Atlantic and/or New England region. In that time, the hurricane moves north, it will eventually become what is called a tropical storm.
The exact path for Hurricane Sandy will be determined by how much rain, wind and beach erosion we get and how long the whole thing lasts. Into early this weekend forecaster will have a much better idea of what path and how strong the storm will be.
The main concern with Hurricane Sandy’s path is whether or not it combines with other weather systems to create a major storm over the northeastern US next week.
NOAA forecasts warn that it doesn’t help with having a full moon, with tides being at their highest, that increases coastal flooding. To go along with it, trees still have leaves on them and with the potential for snow, power outages could last until Election Day.
Jeff Masters, meteorology director of Weather Underground says, “It depends on where the remnants of Sandy turn inland. The computer model that has been leading the pack in predicting the hybrid storm has it hitting around Delaware. But another model has the storm hitting closer to Maine. If it hits Delaware, the chances of snow increase in that region. If it hits farther north, chances for snow in the mid-Atlantic and even up to New York are lessened.
“We’re talking about a confluence of events,” David Bernard, chief meteorologist for CBS News’ Miami station CBS 4. “We have a powerful hurricane … in the Bahamas. That’s a lot of warm air, a lot of heat, a lot of energy and of course we’re deep into fall now and we have an unusual strong jet stream dip with winter-like cold air, and you put those two things together, that’s the possibility that is on the weather maps right now and that could lead to a powerhouse low pressure forming Sunday and Monday. So you would have storm-force winds, coastal flooding, very heavy inland snows could be possible through parts of Appalachians into western Pennsylvania and with that heavy snow and strong winds at the coast we could be looking at significant power outages as well. So it’s kind of the worst of everything coming together, winter and what the tropical season has to offer. There is still the possibility this low stays out to sea, but right now we’re thinking there’s a pretty good chance there could be some impact.”
“It’ll be a rough couple days from Hatteras up to Cape Cod,” said forecaster Jim Cisco of the (NOAA) National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration prediction center in College Park, Md. “We don’t have many modern precedents for what the models are suggesting.”
When a tropical storm combines with a cold system, it’s referred to as an atmospheric bomb. Conditions that are similar to Hurricane Sandy 2012 happened in 1991 with Hurricane Grace known as “the year of the perfect storm.” Hurricane Grace combined with a cold system and killed 12 people while causing $200 million in damage.
Hurricane Sandy Hits Jamaica on Path Toward Cuba, Florida
Sam Champion has the latest news on the devastating Hurricane Sandy storm in the Atlantic that is slamming Jamaica and on the path towards Florida.
Hurricane Sandy Projected Path
David Bernard, chief meteorologist for CBS News’ Miami station CBS 4 said on “CBS This Morning,” “Overnight this storm got really strong. The pictures from the Caribbean and Cuba just prove that. … We’re talking about a Category 2 storm. It’s emerging from the Cuban coastline now. It’s about 185 miles south of the Central Bahamas and the thinking is today, tonight and tomorrow the storm is going to maintain hurricane intensity as it moves through the Bahamas. That’s why we could see these tropical storm force conditions in South Florida, but beyond that as we go into the weekend, we’ll look for this storm to continue to parallel the East Coast, and possibly be somewhere off of the New England or northeast coastline maybe just east of the Delmarva (Peninsula) as well, Sunday night into Monday and that’s when things could definitely get tricky.”
Hurricane Sandy Update
The Hurricane is still nearing the Bahamas, but as the days goes on and forecasters continue to run various computer models, a track to the north is still among the potential scenarios. It’s also possible the storm will stay out to sea, but as time goes on, more models are predicting a serious East Coast impact.
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