Tornado Condition Index TOR:CON Reaches 9 in Midwest Outbreak

Tornado Condition Index

The Weather Channel provides a tornado condition index to help you understand the probability of tornadoes reaching specific cities, regions and states. Oklahoma City is starting to get pounded by tornado sirens and severe weather but they aren’t alone.

Conditions are currently perfect in the United States to make tornado alley in the central plains to fire up with a rash of tornadoes. The National Weather Service is using language to describe this coming storm system as, “high-end, life threatening events.”

The debriefing released yesterday from NOAA was the following, “The Storm Prediction Center has outlined a High Risk of severe thunderstorms across parts of Kansas and Oklahoma. Moderate and Slight Risk areas surround the High Risk area for Saturday and stretch from extreme southwestern Minnesota to central Texas. A tornado outbreak will be likely across the central and southern plains from late Saturday afternoon lasting through the evening and into the overnight period.”

Tornado Outbreak Midwest April 14th

The Weather Channel has the exclusive TOR:CON index that is produced to let you know the risk involved with each city. The index runs on a scale of 0 to 10.

Descriptions of the TOR:CON index numbers:

8:High probability of a tornado
6:Moderate possibility of a tornado
4:Low chance of a tornado nearby, but hail and/or strong wind gusts possible
2:Very low chance of a tornado, but hail and/or strong wind gusts possible
0:Near-zero chance of a tornado or a severe thunderstorm

For Saturday April 14th, 2012 the Tornado Condition Indexes for the following midwest regions are:

IA northwest 3 – 4
IA southwest – 5
IA south-central – 4
IA northeast night – 2
IA west night – 7
KS central – 9
KS east – 5
KS central, northeast night – 9
KS near Wichita night – 7
MN extreme southwest – 2
MN south night – 4
MO northwest, west-central – 4
MO northwest night – 7
NE south – central – 9
NE north – central – 5
NE central night – 8
NE east – 7
NE east – 6, night – 7
OK northwest – 9
OK southwest, central – 7
OK northeast – 5
SD southeast – 2
SD southeast night – 3
TX east panhandle – 7
TX northwest east of Midland to Wichita Falls – 4
TX northwest near San Angelo to Wichita Falls night – 5
WI west-central,southwest night – 2
Other areas – less than 2

All the areas that are listed whether they are low on the TOR:CON index have the threat that they will receive severe weather like hail, damaging winds and tornadoes throughout the day.

For Sunday April 15th, 2012 the following Tornado Condition Index gives you an idea of the risk areas which shift from the central plains over towards Missouri, Michigan and Wisconsin.

AR – 3
IL north – 4
IL central, south – 3
IN northwest – 2 to 3
LA northwest – 3
MI upper – 3
MI west – 3
MN southeast – 4
MO east-central, south – 3
OK southeast – 3
TX southeast – 4
TX rest of area east of I-35 – 3
WI central – 5
WI north – 3 to 4
WI south – 4
Other areas – less than 2

A video description from the Weather Channel on the TOR:CON Index

The April 14th, 2012 Weather Forecast covering Tornadoes in Midwest

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